Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.167296 3.658825 4.203288 4.851458 5.602599 6.446329 7.466920
2024-10-20 2.469778 3.099673 3.858231 4.840420 6.080857 7.598540 9.601432
2024-10-27 1.888646 2.545988 3.396864 4.581931 6.195021 8.321823 11.351879
2024-11-03 1.622378 2.332430 3.313356 4.772815 6.899324 9.900730 14.487344
2024-11-10 1.438209 2.191755 3.296075 5.040943 7.746351 11.810709 18.435342
2024-11-17 1.255629 2.017236 3.194753 5.159927 8.384749 13.514142 22.384866
2024-11-24 1.087329 1.833021 3.043700 5.168111 8.840686 14.997675 26.244556
2024-12-01 0.917175 1.615545 2.801131 4.979207 8.928903 15.878512 29.230705
2024-12-08 0.775497 1.422425 2.566884 4.760685 8.919322 16.573114 31.987402
2024-12-15 0.699828 1.334313 2.501923 4.833296 9.445334 18.309523 36.992879
2024-12-22 0.612254 1.209884 2.350565 4.716006 9.584695 19.327477 40.754250
2024-12-29 0.581667 1.190652 2.395568 4.989337 10.541510 22.105303 48.633805
2025-01-05 0.537094 1.139460 2.375657 5.140036 11.299121 24.662458 56.675899
2025-01-12 0.486909 1.068927 2.305889 5.174841 11.817564 26.808897 64.254824
2025-01-19 0.420334 0.952608 2.121314 4.925931 11.657473 27.419811 68.366985
2025-01-26 0.397660 0.930974 2.141597 5.149965 12.641816 30.861644 80.144303
2025-02-02 0.381887 0.922783 2.191115 5.452186 13.871816 35.122514 94.931422
2025-02-09 0.356982 0.888765 2.174579 5.589104 14.712058 38.564948 108.285358
2025-02-16 0.327828 0.839656 2.113820 5.603016 15.234814 41.281018 120.218114
2025-02-23 0.291139 0.765679 1.979610 5.400843 15.138338 42.316103 127.533931
2025-03-02 0.257477 0.694455 1.841713 5.165160 14.905402 42.927376 133.712314
2025-03-09 0.241286 0.667840 1.817985 5.245285 15.597226 46.324077 149.290902
2025-03-16 0.218428 0.619341 1.727585 5.118450 15.653482 47.853314 159.234038